목차

제1장 과업 개요 ····································································································· 1
제1절 과업의 배경 및 목적 / 3
제2절 과업의 범위 및 내용 / 4
제3절 과업 추진 방법 / 8
제2장 장래 여객 수요 예측 방법론 수립 ··························································· 9
제1절 기존 전국 여객 수요모형의 주요 문제점 / 11
제2절 장래연도 수요 예측 기본 방향 / 14
제3절 장래연도 수요 예측 방법론 수립 / 17
제3장 장래 사회경제지표 예측 ············································································ 21
제1절 장래사회경제지표 예측 방법론 / 23
제2절 지역간 장래 사회경제지표 예측 결과 / 41
제3절 대도시권 장래 사회경제지표 예측 결과 / 47
제4장 전국 지역간 장래교통수요예측 ································································ 81
제1절 전국지역간 장래교통수요예측 개요 / 83
제2절 통행발생모형 수립 / 84
제3절 통행분포모형 수립 / 107
제4절 수단선택모형 수립 / 113
제5절 총 통행량 및 대존간 통행량 분석 / 127
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제5장 대도시권 장래교통수요예측 ······································································ 133
제1절 대도시권 장래교통수요예측 개요 / 135
제2절 통행발생모형 수립 / 138
제3절 통행분포모형 수립 / 160
제4절 수단선택모형 수립 / 179
제6장 대도시권 장래 여객 O/ D 예측 결과 및 분석 ······································· 253
제1절 통행발생 예측결과 / 256
제2절 통행분포 예측결과 / 348
제3절 장래 수단통행량 예측결과 / 359
제4절 장래 통행원단위 분석 / 369
제7장 결론 및 향후 과제 ····················································································· 371
제1절 주요 결과 및 개선사항 / 373
제2절 한계점 및 향후 과제 / 383
부 록 ························································································································ 387